Cross-border Activity Intensifies Amid Tariffs Crisis, Payment to Hit 18 Billion

Cross-border Activity Intensifies Amid Tariffs Crisis, Payment to Hit 18 Billion

The global cross-border B2B transactions will reach 18.3 billion in 2030; up from 16.3 billion in 2025. This 13% growth will be driven by increased globalisation despite tariffs, as well as new payment types such as stablecoins reducing payments barriers.

According to Juniper Research forecasts, cross-border B2B transactions will be resilient in the face of US-led tariff policies. While tariffs do add cost, the interconnectedness of supply chains is established; making a switch back to domestic sourcing unlikely. Furthermore, where cross-border trade is impacted, both US imports and exports will decrease due to reciprocal tariffs, however the trade of the EU and China will increase to offset this.

Accordingly, B2B payments vendors must ensure support for a diverse set of trade corridors, as tariffs force diversification beyond US-centric corridors.

The research identified stablecoins as key to unlocking efficiency within B2B payments. Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged to a reference asset, such as a fiat currency or another asset.

By offering a digitally native way to make payments across borders, stablecoins bypass many of the traditional cross-border payment issues, such as speed and transparency.

However, challenges remain for stablecoin adoption at scale. Report co-author Michael Greenwood explained: “Stablecoins have high potential, but need significant infrastructure to be built, including on and off ramps for converting funds to/from stablecoins into local currencies, and integrating stablecoins within procurement platforms. Partnering within the industry to solve these challenges will unlock massive B2B stablecoin adoption and accompanying revenue.”

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